ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Arkansas Governor

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) · running · Cook PVI R+15 · last result 62.96% R

Fredrick Love
CC BY 3.0 · Arkansas Farm Bureau
Democratic

Fredrick Love

2¢
Wikipedia bio

Fredrick J. Love is an American politician representing the 15th district in the Arkansas Senate since 2023.

Source: Fredrick Love
VS
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
CC BY-SA 4.0 · Gage Skidmore
Republican

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

97¢
Wikipedia bio

Sarah Elizabeth Huckabee Sanders is an American politician serving as the 47th governor of Arkansas since 2023. Sanders is the daughter of Ambassador Mike Huckabee, who served from 1996 to 2007 as Arkansas's 44th governor.

Source: Sarah Huckabee Sanders
Colt Shelby
CC0 · DanielObjectGPU
Libertarian

Colt Shelby

97¢
Polymarket · Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) · 97¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Sarah Huckabee Sanders 97¢ (mid). Polymarket Sarah Huckabee Sanders 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+30.6. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+27.6.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:35 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiSarah Huckabee Sanders 97¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 18 hours
PolymarketSarah Huckabee Sanders 97¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours
KalshiFred Love 2¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
PolymarketFredrick Love 2¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live

Arkansas Governor · ShowdownWire