Alabama Governor 2026

Name: 2026 Alabama Governor election
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Alabama

Kay Ivey (R) · term-limited · Cook PVI R+15 · last result 66.91% R

Safe RShare card

Democratic

Doug Jones

6¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Gordon Douglas Jones is an American politician and attorney who served as a United States senator from Alabama from 2018 to 2021. A member of the Democratic Party, Jones was previously the United States attorney for the Northern District of Alabama from 1997 to 2001.

Source: Doug Jones (politician)

Republican

Tommy Tuberville

95¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Thomas Hawley Tuberville is an American politician and retired college football coach and sports broadcaster who is the senior United States senator from Alabama, a seat he has held since 2021. He is a member of the Republican Party.

Source: Tommy Tuberville

Polymarket · Tommy Tuberville (R) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Kay Ivey (R) is the incumbent, term-limited. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 13, 2026. 7 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Tommy Tuberville 93¢ (mid). Polymarket Tommy Tuberville 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+30.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+25.5.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 6, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct. 15, 2026Likely R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 12, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Fox NewsOct. 6, 2026Solid R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Tommy Tuberville93¢mid · spread 1¢
Doug Jones7¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:18 AM EDT

Tommy Tuberville (R)95¢mid · spread 2¢
Doug Jones (D)6¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiTommy Tuberville 93¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 132 hours

PolymarketTommy Tuberville 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 695 hours

KalshiDoug Jones 7¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketDoug Jones 6¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 6, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 12, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

The Senate map driving Trump’s late-stage travel blitzThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Alabama Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Governor: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Alabama election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live