New Jersey 7

Thomas Kean Jr. (R) · Cook PVI EVEN · last result 51.8% R

Thomas Kean Jr.

Wikipedia bio

Thomas Howard Kean Jr. is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for New Jersey's 7th congressional district since 2023. A member of the Republican Party, he previously represented New Jersey's 21st legislative district in the New Jersey Senate from 2003 to 2022, serving as minority leader from 2008 to 2022, and represented the same district in the New Jersey General Assembly from 2001 to 2003.

Source: Thomas Kean Jr.

Polymarket · Rebecca Bennett (D) · 93¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Thomas Kean Jr. (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Rebecca Bennett 93¢ (mid). Polymarket Rebecca Bennett 93¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+5.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+15.9.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean D (flip)
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Lean D (flip)
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tilt D (flip)
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely D (flip)
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D (flip)
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean D (flip)
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 10:33 PM EDT

Rebecca Bennett93¢mid · spread 1¢
Thomas Kean Jr.7¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 10:33 PM EDT

Rebecca Bennett (D)93¢mid · spread 2¢
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)6¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

KalshiRebecca Bennett 93¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 105 hours

PolymarketRebecca Bennett 93¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 691 hours

KalshiThomas Kean Jr. 7¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· hourly pull · 7 hours

PolymarketThomas Kean Jr. 6¢ at Oct 19, 9:52 PM EDT· hourly pull · 7 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
New Jersey 7: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 7: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 7: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 7: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 7: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 10:23 PM EDT · mode live