New Hampshire 1
Chris Pappas (D) · retiring · Cook PVI D+2 · last result 54.0% D
Chris Pappas
Wikipedia bio
Christopher Charles Pappas is an American politician who has served as the U.S. representative from New Hampshire's 1st congressional district since 2019.
Source: Chris Pappas (American politician)Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Chris Pappas (D) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Likely D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Stefany Shaheen 95¢ (mid). Polymarket Stefany Shaheen 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+2.8. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+7.3.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely D
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Lean D
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Lean D
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Likely D
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely D
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely D
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Stefany Shaheen95¢mid · spread 0¢
- Anthony DiLorenzo4¢mid · spread 1¢
- Stefany Shaheen (D)97¢mid · spread 1¢
- Anthony DiLorenzo (R)4¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
What changed
- marketNew Hampshire 1: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNew Hampshire 1: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNew Hampshire 1: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNew Hampshire 1: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketNew Hampshire 1: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live