New Jersey 9

Nellie Pou (D) · Cook PVI D+2 · last result 50.8% D

Nellie Pou

Wikipedia bio

Nelida Avila Pou is an American politician and business administrator serving as the U.S. representative for New Jersey's 9th congressional district since 2025. A member of the Democratic Party, she previously served in the New Jersey Senate from 2012 to 2025 and the New Jersey General Assembly from 1997 to 2012, representing the 35th legislative district.

Source: Nellie Pou

Polymarket · Nellie Pou (D) · 97¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Nellie Pou (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Nellie Pou 97¢ (mid). Polymarket Nellie Pou 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was D+5.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+15.9.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Likely D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Likely D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid D
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Safe D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Likely D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 8:37 PM EDT

Nellie Pou97¢mid · spread 1¢
Rosie Pino3¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 8:37 PM EDT

Nellie Pou (D)97¢mid · spread 2¢
Rosie Pino (R)2¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 9:00 PM EDT

KalshiNellie Pou 97¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 18 hours

PolymarketNellie Pou 97¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 692 hours

KalshiRosie Pino 3¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours

PolymarketRosie Pino 2¢ at Oct 19, 8:11 PM EDT· hourly pull · 5 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

market
New Jersey 9: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 9: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 9: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 9: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
New Jersey 9: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 8:23 PM EDT · mode live