ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

Texas 2

No incumbent listed

No consensusShare card
93¢
Polymarket · Steve Toth (R) · 93¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

No forecaster rating is stored for this seat. That is not a Safe rating. Polymarket Steve Toth 93¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+5.6.

This seat is not in the Wikipedia non-safe ratings table. No rating is assigned here.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

    Markets

    Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

    PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

    PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

    Price history

    through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT
    0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
    PolymarketSteve Toth 93¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 687 hours
    PolymarketShaun Finnie 7¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

    Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

    Money

    No FEC snapshot for this race.

    Recent polls

    No individual polls in this snapshot.

    Latest news

    What changed

    No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

    Results

    Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

    Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

    · snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live

    Texas 2 · ShowdownWire