Texas 21
Chip Roy (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+10 · last result 61.9% R
Chip Roy
Wikipedia bio
Charles Eugene "Chip" Roy is an American attorney and politician serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 21st congressional district since 2019. Previously, he was Senator Ted Cruz's chief of staff and first assistant attorney general of Texas under Ken Paxton.
Source: Chip RoyDesk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Chip Roy (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Mark Teixeira 96¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+5.6.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe R
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Safe R
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid R
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid R
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe R
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely R
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid R
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe R
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Mark Teixeira (R)96¢mid · spread 3¢
- Kristin Hook (D)4¢mid · spread 3¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
- marketTexas 21: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTexas 21: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTexas 21: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTexas 21: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
- marketTexas 21: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live