Texas 15

Monica De La Cruz (R) · Cook PVI R+7 · last result 57.1% R

Monica De La Cruz

19¢

Wikipedia bio

Mónica de la Cruz is an American politician and insurance agent serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district since 2023. She is a member of the Republican Party.

Source: Monica De La Cruz

Polymarket · Bobby Pulido (D) · 83¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Monica De La Cruz (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Toss-up. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Bobby Pulido 85¢ (mid). Polymarket Bobby Pulido 83¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+5.6.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Tossup
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Tossup
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tossup
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Tossup
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Lean R
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Lean R
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Tossup
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Tossup
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Bobby Pulido85¢mid · spread 1¢
Monica De La Cruz17¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Bobby Pulido (D)83¢mid · spread 1¢
Monica De La Cruz (R)19¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

KalshiBobby Pulido 84¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 202 hours

PolymarketBobby Pulido 83¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 678 hours

KalshiMonica De La Cruz 17¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

PolymarketMonica De La Cruz 19¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live