Texas 2026

14 rated races and 26 House seats no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.

• SenateTexas SenatePolymarket: Democrat James Talarico 65%Toss-up
• GovernorTexas GovernorPolymarket: Republican Greg Abbott 73%Leans Republican
• HouseTexas’s 9th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Alex Mealer 84%Likely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 10th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Chris Gober 91%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 15th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Bobby Pulido 84%Toss-up
• HouseTexas’s 21st DistrictPolymarket: Republican Mark Teixeira 96%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 22nd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Trever Nehls 95%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 23rd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Brandon Herrera 70%Leans Republican
• HouseTexas’s 24th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Beth Van Duyne 91%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 27th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Michael Cloud 95%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 28th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Henry Cuellar 92%Leans Democratic
• HouseTexas’s 32nd DistrictPolymarket: Republican Jace Yarbrough 86%Safely Republican
• HouseTexas’s 34th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Vicente Gonzalez 83%Leans Democratic
• HouseTexas’s 35th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Johnny Garcia 62%Toss-up