ShowdownWire
November 3, 2026

West Virginia Senate

Shelley Moore Capito (R) · running · Cook PVI R+21 · last result 70.28% R

Democratic

Rachel Fetty Anderson

2¢
VS
Shelley Moore Capito
Public domain · Official portrait, United States Congress
Republican

Shelley Moore Capito

98¢
Wikipedia bio

Shelley Wellons Moore Capito is an American politician serving as the senior United States senator from West Virginia. A member of the Republican Party, Capito served from 2001 to 2015 as the U.S. representative from West Virginia's 2nd congressional district.

Source: Shelley Moore Capito
Constitution

S. Marshall Wilson

Wikipedia bio

Stephen Marshall Wilson is an American politician who served in the West Virginia House of Delegates from the 60th district from 2016 to 2020. Wilson is a staunch advocate for Constitutional Rights, transparency and accountability in government.

Source: S. Marshall Wilson
98¢
Polymarket · Shelley Moore Capito (R) · 98¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Shelley Moore Capito (R) is the incumbent, running. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Shelley Moore Capito 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Shelley Moore Capito 98¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+41.9. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+38.9.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:32 PM EDT
PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:32 PM EDT

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
KalshiShelley Moore Capito 98¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 27 hours
PolymarketShelley Moore Capito 98¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours
KalshiRachel Fetty Anderson 2¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours
PolymarketRachel Fetty Anderson 1¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours
Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026
Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 15, 2026
Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 17, 2026
Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 13, 2026
Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 12, 2026
Marker Oct 13, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 14, 2026
Marker Oct 17, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 18, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

What changed

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

· snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live

West Virginia Senate · ShowdownWire