Alabama Senate

Tommy Tuberville (R) · retiring · Cook PVI R+15 · last result 60.10% R

Republican

Barry Moore

97¢

Wikipedia bio

Felix Barry Moore is an American politician serving since 2025 as the U.S. representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district. The district includes Baldwin, Coffee, Covington, Dale, Escambia, Geneva, Henry, and Houston Counties, as well as most of Mobile County.

Source: Barry Moore (American politician)

No freely licensed photo on Wikimedia Commons.

Democratic

Everett Wess

2¢

Polymarket price

Polymarket · Barry Moore (R) · 97¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Tommy Tuberville (R) is the incumbent, retiring. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct 6, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Barry Moore 98¢ (mid). Polymarket Barry Moore 97¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+30.5. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+25.5.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct 6, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct 14, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct 15, 2026Safe R
RealClearPoliticsOct 12, 2026Solid R
Silver BulletinOct 15, 2026Solid R
FiftyPlusOneOct 17, 2026Safe R
The EconomistOct 15, 2026Safe R
Fox NewsOct 13, 2026Solid R
Split TicketOct 18, 2026Safe R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 19, 7:30 PM EDT

Barry Moore98¢mid · spread 1¢
Everett Wess3¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 7:30 PM EDT

Barry Moore (R)97¢mid · spread 1¢
Everett Wess (D)2¢mid · spread 2¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 8:00 PM EDT

KalshiBarry Moore 98¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 31 hours

PolymarketBarry Moore 97¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours

KalshiEverett Wess 3¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

PolymarketEverett Wess 2¢ at Oct 19, 7:18 PM EDT· hourly pull · 4 hours

Marker Oct 5, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 6, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 15, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 13, 2026

Marker Oct 11, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 12, 2026

Marker Oct 13, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 14, 2026

Marker Oct 17, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct 18, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

The Senate map driving Trump’s late-stage travel blitzThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Alabama Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Alabama Senate: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 7:23 PM EDT · mode live