California 2026

8 rated races and 45 House seats no forecaster rates as competitive. Market prices are prices, not forecasts.

• GovernorCalifornia GovernorPolymarket: Xavier Becerra 97%Safely Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 5th DistrictPolymarket: Republican Tom McClintock 93%Safely Republican
• HouseCalifornia’s 6th DistrictNo market priceSafely Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 13th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Adam Gray 95%Likely Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 21st DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Jim Costa 96%Safely Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 22nd DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Randy Villegas 90%Leans Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 45th DistrictPolymarket: Democrat Derek Tran 94%Safely Democratic
• HouseCalifornia’s 48th DistrictPolymarket: Marni von Democrat Wilpert 94%Likely Democratic