Michigan’s 3rd District 2026

Name: 2026 U.S. House election, Michigan’s 3rd District
Start: 2026-11-03
End: 2026-11-03
Location: Michigan’s 3rd District

Hillary Scholten (D) · Cook PVI D+4 · last result 53.7% D

Safe DShare card

Hillary Scholten

95¢

Polymarket price

Wikipedia bio

Hillary Jeanne Scholten is an American politician and attorney who has served as the U.S. representative from Michigan's 3rd congressional district since 2023. She is a member of the Democratic Party.

Source: Hillary Scholten

Polymarket · Hillary Scholten (D) · 95¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Hillary Scholten (D) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi Hillary Scholten 94¢ (mid). Polymarket Hillary Scholten 95¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+1.4. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+2.8.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid D
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe D
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Likely D
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Safe D
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Solid D
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Solid D
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Safe D
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Safe D
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid D
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe D

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

KalshiKalshiOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT

Hillary Scholten94¢mid · spread 0¢
Terri DeBoer5¢mid · spread 1¢

PolymarketPolymarketOct 20, 10:15 AM EDT

Hillary Scholten (D)95¢mid · spread 1¢
Terri DeBoer (R)4¢mid · spread 3¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT

WindowSep 20, 10:00 AM EDT

KalshiHillary Scholten 94¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Kalshi public candlesticks · 31 hours

PolymarketHillary Scholten 95¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 690 hours

KalshiTerri DeBoer 5¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

PolymarketTerri DeBoer 4¢ at Oct 20, 9:44 AM EDT· hourly pull · 21 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

El-Sayed: Ohio State owes Vance a refundThe Hill — Campaign ·

What changed

market
Michigan 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Michigan 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Michigan 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Michigan 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.
market
Michigan 3: the stored prices were compared and no contract moved by a full cent.

Results

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Counts will come from civicAPI, which compiles official state election offices. A winner is shown only when civicAPI projects one, labelled as such.

Official results: Michigan election office ↗

Updated Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · snapshot Oct 20, 10:10 AM EDT · mode live