Texas 24

Beth Van Duyne (R) · Cook PVI R+8 · last result 60.3% R

Beth Van Duyne

91¢

Wikipedia bio

Elizabeth Ann Van Duyne is an American politician serving as the U.S. representative for Texas's 24th congressional district since 2021. A member of the Republican Party, she was mayor of Irving from 2011 to 2017.

Source: Beth Van Duyne

Polymarket · Beth Van Duyne (R) · 91¢. The contract price, not a forecast model.

Desk notes

Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.

Beth Van Duyne (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Safe R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Beth Van Duyne 91¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+5.6.

House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.

Polling average

No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.

Ratings

Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Solid R
Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Safe R
Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Solid R
Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely R
RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Likely R
Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Likely R
FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely R
The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Likely R
Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Solid R
Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Safe R

Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.

Markets

Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.

PolymarketPolymarketOct 19, 9:38 PM EDT

Beth Van Duyne (R)91¢mid · spread 2¢
Kevin Burge (D)9¢mid · spread 1¢

PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.

Price history

through Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT

WindowSep 19, 10:00 PM EDT

PolymarketBeth Van Duyne 91¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· Polymarket CLOB prices-history · 693 hours

PolymarketKevin Burge 9¢ at Oct 19, 9:01 PM EDT· hourly pull · 6 hours

Marker Oct 15, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 16, 2026

Marker Oct 14, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 15, 2026

Marker Oct 7, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 8, 2026

Marker Oct 18, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 19, 2026

Marker Oct 16, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 17, 2026

Marker Oct 12, 8:00 PM EDT · Rating dated Oct. 13, 2026

Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.

Money

No FEC snapshot for this race.

Recent polls

No individual polls in this snapshot.

Latest news

What changed

No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.

Results

Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.

Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.

Updated Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live