Michigan 7
Tom Barrett (R) · Cook PVI EVEN · last result 50.3% R
Tom Barrett
Wikipedia bio
Thomas More Barrett is an American politician, financial analyst, and former U.S. Army officer serving as the U.S. representative for Michigan's 7th congressional district since 2025. A Republican, he previously served in the Michigan Senate from 2019 to 2023 and in the Michigan House of Representatives from 2015 to 2019.
Source: Tom Barrett (Michigan politician)Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
Tom Barrett (R) is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean D. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Kalshi William Lawrence 64¢ (mid). Polymarket William Lawrence 63¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+1.4. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was D+2.8.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Tossup
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Tossup
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Tossup
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Lean D (flip)
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Likely D (flip)
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Lean D (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Tossup
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Lean D (flip)
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- William Lawrence64¢mid · spread 1¢
- Tom Barrett37¢mid · spread 1¢
- William Lawrence (D)63¢mid · spread 2¢
- Tom Barrett (R)36¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
No move recorded since the baseline snapshot.
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live