Texas 35
New seat · Cook PVI R+4 · last result –
New seat
Desk notes
Generated from the sourced figures on this page. Not a separate report.
New seat is the incumbent. The ratings consensus is Lean R. Cook’s cell is dated Oct. 16, 2026. 10 forecaster cells are stored. Polymarket Johnny Garcia 59¢ (mid). The 2024 presidential margin in this state was R+13.7. The 2020 presidential margin in this state was R+5.6.
House polling is not ingested in v1. This page is the ratings row only.
Polling average
No polling average for this race. That is an empty state, not a tie.
Ratings
- Cook Political ReportOct. 16, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Sabato's Crystal BallOct. 8, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Inside ElectionsOct. 15, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Decision Desk HQOct. 17, 2026Tossup
- RealClearPoliticsOct. 17, 2026Tossup
- Silver BulletinSep. 10, 2026Lean R (flip)
- FiftyPlusOneOct. 17, 2026Tossup
- The EconomistOct. 19, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Fox NewsOct. 13, 2026Lean R (flip)
- Split TicketOct. 17, 2026Lean D
Quoted from the Wikipedia predictions table, not scraped from the raters.
Markets
Raw yes-prices. Not vig-adjusted. Contracts under 1¢ are omitted.
- Johnny Garcia (D)59¢mid · spread 1¢
- Carlos De La Cruz (R)41¢mid · spread 1¢
PredictIt is off. Its terms limit the feed to non-commercial use.
Price history
Scale is fixed at 0–100¢. Hourly closes. A dashed line is a rating date or a poll end date stored on this race. Times are US Eastern.
Money
No FEC snapshot for this race.
Recent polls
No individual polls in this snapshot.
Latest news
What changed
- ratingTexas 35: The Economist on Texas house: Tossup → Lean R (flip)
Results
Official results are not being treated as returns yet. Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Results appear here once official returns start on election night, November 3, 2026.
· snapshot Oct 19, 9:23 PM EDT · mode live